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Fraud Detection

TL;DR
  • Signals = Data points indicating risk (device, velocity, behavior, identity)
  • Rules = Fast, explainable, good for known patterns
  • ML models = Find patterns you haven't seen, but they need training data
  • Stack by stage: Starter (rules + AVS) → Intermediate (+ device ID + ML) → Advanced (+ behavioral)
  • Detection is layered. Nothing catches everything on its own

Something's getting through and you want to catch it earlier. Build the stack your volume justifies, not the one a vendor's selling.


How Detection Works​

ComponentPurposeExample
SignalsRaw data pointsDevice ID, IP, velocity, AVS result
RulesKnown-pattern matching"Block if >5 cards in 1 hour"
ML ModelsPattern discoveryAnomaly score from transaction features
ReviewHuman judgmentEdge cases, high-value orders

Core Topics​

Evidence Framework​

How to sort signals into Tier 1 and Tier 2:

  • Tier 1: Direct evidence to verify against the specific case
  • Tier 2: Supporting signals to investigate, not a count that proves fraud

Rules vs. ML​

Which one you've actually got a use for:

  • When rules work best
  • When ML excels
  • Hybrid approaches

Detection Methods​

MethodCoverageUse Case
Velocity RulesTransaction patternsReal-time decisioning
Data EnrichmentIP, email, phone signalsEnriching transaction data
Building Fraud RulesRule sets, allow/block listsDay-one setup and lifecycle
Fraud Model FeedbackML feedback loopsModel accuracy and monitoring
Device FingerprintingDevice/browser attributesAccount-level linking
Behavioral AnalyticsUser behavior patternsATO, bot detection
Identity VerificationIdentity confirmationApplication, step-up
Manual ReviewComplex/edge casesHigh-value decisions

Building Your Detection Stack​

Starter Stack​

  1. Basic velocity rules
  2. AVS/CVV verification
  3. Simple device ID
  4. Manual review queue

Intermediate Stack​

  1. Advanced velocity rules
  2. Device fingerprinting service
  3. Data enrichment (IP, email, phone intelligence)
  4. ML scoring (vendor or custom)
  5. Fraud rule lifecycle management (shadow mode, allow/block lists)
  6. Case management system

A full-stack fraud platform (Sift, Sardine, Kount) bundles items 2-4 into one integration. You can assemble the same thing from separate vendors. It's just more plumbing. Fraud vendors covers when each way makes sense.

Advanced Stack​

  1. Real-time ML models
  2. Behavioral biometrics
  3. Network analysis
  4. Custom feature engineering
  5. Automated decision engine
  6. ML feedback loops and model monitoring
  7. Operational cadence (daily/weekly/monthly reviews)

When to Escalate​

It's all in the evidence framework: Tier 1/Tier 2 indicators and when to escalate.

Something wrong on this page? Email matt at paymentsandrisk.com and say what needs fixing.